Sunday, December 13, 2009

Not much going on

Haven't blogged in a while because I've been playing decent but running like crap, and that doesn't make for anything I really wanted to write about.  That pattern has continued this month.  I've tightened up a bit postflop, and my Went to Showdown has dropped to 22%.  But my Won $ at Showdown is only at 31%.  Not going to show good results when you win less than a third of the time at showdown, no matter what the rest of your game is doing.

The rest of my stats look OK, except my aggression on the river is pretty low.  But I've looked through some of the river calls I've made, and I'm actually doing OK with them, both decision and results wise.  It's the stuff before the river that is dragging me down.

I've been getting money in pretty good, or else in cooler situations.  I've probably passed up a few spots where I think I could be basically flipping with some dead money in the pot.  It's not so much a matter of avoiding the variance even with a small positive EV, but more when I'm not running well, I don't want to rely on my best hand/villain reading judgment...at the edges, it may be off.  And all that has been going well as far as I can see from what villains are showing down.  But I've lost to more 2-outers and 3-outers than I "should," while not hitting my own draws.

On the flip side of that is that I seem to keep running into villains with hands, or in some cases perhaps decent players taking advantage of my aggression in spots where I can't stand the heat they bring.  I'm getting a chance to make some decent folds.  One problem in the pasts was thinking that people were more out of line than they were, so even if I'm bet/folding too much, I doubt it's a lot too much, and I'm happy that I have the discipline to be able to lay down some hands in those spots rather than making some stack-committing hero calls.  To know that I can do that, even while being frustrated, is a silver lining is this rough stretch.

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